Justice Data Lab re-offending analysis: NOMS CFO North West (excluding Merseyside) - Merseyside Probation Trust (delivered during community sentences)

This document describes an evaluation of a programme designed to help offenders find employment to reduce re-offending rates, using a case management model to address various barriers such as training, education, housing, and health. The programme is delivered by different providers across England and targets unemployed or economically inactive individuals. The evaluation method involved processing data for 1,970 offenders from the Merseyside Probation Trust in 2010, comparing their re-offending rates to a matched control group of 92,037 offender records, with careful matching to ensure similar characteristics between groups. The results indicated a 5% reduction in re-offending rates for the targeted offenders, with confidence intervals used to establish the certainty of the results. However, the study acknowledges potential selection bias and limitations, such as not controlling for employment outcomes in the control group. The analysis excludes sex offenders and does not compare to national averages. P-values and confidence intervals were used to assess the significance of the differences in re-offending rates, with a p-value of up to 0.05 considered indicative of a real difference. The document, which includes a comparison of offender characteristics and is available under the Open Government License, concludes that the programme shows promise in reducing re-offending rates among participants. **This summary was written by an AI model and therefore should not be considered a definitive summary of the report. If you are aware of inaccuracies, please email evaluation.registry@cabinetoffice.gov.uk.**

Description

• Lead department: Ministry of Justice (MOJ)
• Evaluation stage: A complete evaluation report
• Other departments: No other departments listed
• Evaluation types: Impact evaluation
• Impact methods: Quasi-experimental method
• Quasi-experimental methods: Matching
• Grant information: This intervention is not distributing funding via a grant
• Government Major Project information: This intervention is not a major project
• Policies: No policies provided

Event Dates

• Event Name: Publication of final results
• Event date: 2013

Evaluation Costs

• Cost: Not provided

Evaluation sharing

• Link(s) to published report(s): Yes
• Links to evaluation plans: No link provided
• Links to published evaluations (DEBUGGING): No final report link found.
• Findings: Not provided
• Permission to share confirmed: Yes