Justice Data Lab re-offending analysis: NOMS CFO North West (including Merseyside) Merseyside Probation Trust (delivered in custody)

This document describes an evaluation of a programme designed to assist offenders in finding employment to reduce re-offending rates, using a case management model and targeting those within three years of release and eligible to work in the UK. The evaluation analyzed data for 805 offenders from the Merseyside Probation Trust in 2010, with a high match rate to the Police National Computer and a control group for comparison. The one-year re-offending rate was slightly lower for the programme participants (49.9%) compared to the control group (50.5%), but the difference was not statistically significant, indicating uncertainty about the programme's impact. The evaluation highlighted the need for larger sample sizes and consideration of additional data to improve the precision of estimates. It also discussed the importance of controlling for employment outcomes and the potential influence of selection bias. The document, released under the Open Government License, provides detailed comparisons of participant characteristics and emphasizes that the findings are specific to the Merseyside region and should not be generalized. Contact information for the Ministry of Justice is included for further inquiries. **This summary was written by an AI model and therefore should not be considered a definitive summary of the report. If you are aware of inaccuracies, please email evaluation.registry@cabinetoffice.gov.uk.**

Description

• Lead department: Ministry of Justice (MOJ)
• Evaluation stage: A complete evaluation report
• Other departments: No other departments listed
• Evaluation types: Impact evaluation
• Impact methods: Quasi-experimental method
• Quasi-experimental methods: Matching
• Grant information: This intervention is not distributing funding via a grant
• Government Major Project information: This intervention is not a major project
• Policies: No policies provided

Event Dates

• Event Name: Publication of final results
• Event date: 2013

Evaluation Costs

• Cost: Not provided

Evaluation sharing

• Link(s) to published report(s): Yes
• Links to evaluation plans: No link provided
• Findings: Not provided
• Permission to share confirmed: Yes